{"id":234620,"date":"2026-05-17T11:44:59","date_gmt":"2026-05-17T09:44:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/?p=234620"},"modified":"2026-05-17T13:35:15","modified_gmt":"2026-05-17T11:35:15","slug":"%d9%84%d9%85%d8%a7%d8%b0%d8%a7-%d8%b9%d8%ac%d8%b2%d8%aa-%d8%b1%d9%88%d8%b3%d9%8a%d8%a7-%d8%b9%d9%86-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b3%d8%aa%d9%8a%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%a1-%d8%b9%d9%84%d9%89-%d9%83%d8%a7%d9%85%d9%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/?p=234620","title":{"rendered":"\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u062a \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u0633\u062d\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u061f\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0646\u061f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n \t<\/i> Read Time:<\/span>20 Minute, 7 Second <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u2014 \u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644 \u2014 16 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026<\/title>\n<link href=\"https:\/\/fonts.googleapis.com\/css2?family=Cairo:wght@300;400;600;700;900&family=Amiri:wght@400;700&display=swap\" rel=\"stylesheet\">\n<link rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https:\/\/cdnjs.cloudflare.com\/ajax\/libs\/font-awesome\/6.5.0\/css\/all.min.css\">\n<style>\n:root{\n --ink:#080c14;--navy:#07101e;--navy2:#0b1828;\n --gold:#c8a800;--amber:#e8c000;--amber2:#f5d020;\n --red:#b80010;--green:#166028;--teal:#004e60;--pur:#5018a0;\n --sky:#0060b0;--ora:#b85000;\n --smoke:#eef2fa;--white:#fff;--cream:#f8f9ff;\n --txt:#080c14;--txtm:#1a2438;--txts:#4a5868;--brd:#c0ceE2;\n --s1:#003399;--s2:#8b0000;--s3:#1a4a00;\n}\n*,*::before,*::after{margin:0;padding:0;box-sizing:border-box}\nhtml{font-size:16px;-webkit-text-size-adjust:100%}\nbody{background:var(--smoke);font-family:'Cairo',sans-serif;color:var(--txt);}\n\n\/* TOP STRIP *\/\n.topstrip{background:var(--navy);padding:6px 14px;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:5px;}\n.tsp{display:flex;gap:6px;flex-wrap:wrap;}\n.tp{background:rgba(255,255,255,.09);border:1px solid rgba(200,160,0,.28);color:rgba(255,255,255,.88);font-size:10.5px;font-weight:700;padding:3px 10px;border-radius:20px;display:flex;align-items:center;gap:4px;white-space:nowrap;}\n.tp i{color:var(--amber2);}\n.tlive{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:5px;color:var(--amber2);font-size:11px;font-weight:900;}\n\n\/* MASTHEAD *\/\n.mhead{background:linear-gradient(158deg,#01020a 0%,#050c1e 45%,#020818 100%);border-bottom:6px solid var(--gold);position:relative;overflow:hidden;}\n.mhead::before{content:'';position:absolute;inset:0;\n background:radial-gradient(ellipse at 20% 50%,rgba(0,51,153,.18) 0%,transparent 55%),\n radial-gradient(ellipse at 80% 40%,rgba(139,0,0,.14) 0%,transparent 55%),\n repeating-linear-gradient(-45deg,transparent,transparent 28px,rgba(200,160,0,.04) 28px,rgba(200,160,0,.04) 30px);\n pointer-events:none;}\n.mhead::after{content:'';position:absolute;bottom:0;left:0;right:0;height:4px;\n background:linear-gradient(90deg,var(--s1),var(--amber2),var(--s2),var(--s3),var(--amber));\n animation:shimmer 4s ease-in-out infinite;}\n@keyframes shimmer{0%,100%{opacity:.5}50%{opacity:1}}\n.mi{position:relative;z-index:1;padding:clamp(18px,3.5vw,48px) clamp(14px,5vw,72px) clamp(20px,3.5vw,44px);display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;text-align:center;gap:14px;}\n.mico{font-size:clamp(40px,7vw,74px);animation:float 4s ease-in-out infinite;}\n@keyframes float{0%,100%{transform:translateY(0)}50%{transform:translateY(-10px)}}\n.net{font-family:'Amiri',serif;font-size:clamp(13px,2.2vw,27px);color:rgba(255,255,255,.6);}\n.net span{color:var(--amber2);}\n.badge{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;background:rgba(200,160,0,.1);border:1px solid rgba(200,160,0,.42);color:var(--amber2);font-size:clamp(9.5px,1.5vw,13px);font-weight:900;padding:5px 22px;border-radius:4px;letter-spacing:2.5px;}\n.btitle{font-family:'Amiri',serif;font-size:clamp(22px,5vw,64px);font-weight:900;color:#fff;line-height:1.12;text-shadow:0 4px 24px rgba(0,0,0,.7);}\n.btitle em{color:var(--amber2);font-style:normal;}\n.bsub{font-size:clamp(12px,1.7vw,18px);color:rgba(255,255,255,.72);font-weight:600;}\n.author-box{background:rgba(200,160,0,.1);border:1px solid rgba(200,160,0,.35);border-radius:14px;padding:12px 22px;display:flex;align-items:center;gap:14px;flex-wrap:wrap;justify-content:center;}\n.author-ico{font-size:clamp(28px,4vw,44px);}\n.author-info{text-align:right;}\n.author-name{font-family:'Amiri',serif;font-size:clamp(15px,2vw,24px);font-weight:900;color:var(--amber2);}\n.author-title{font-size:clamp(10px,1.2vw,13px);color:rgba(255,255,255,.7);}\n.drow{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;justify-content:center;gap:8px;width:100%;}\n.db{background:rgba(255,255,255,.07);border:1px solid rgba(200,160,0,.22);border-radius:11px;padding:7px 13px;text-align:center;min-width:108px;}\n.db .dv{font-size:clamp(13px,1.9vw,20px);font-weight:900;display:block;line-height:1.1;}\n.db .dl{color:rgba(255,255,255,.4);font-size:clamp(8px,.9vw,10px);display:block;margin-top:2px;}\n.ds1 .dv{color:#88ccff;}.ds2 .dv{color:#ff9090;}.ds3 .dv{color:#88ffaa;}\n\n\/* STUDY SECTION HEADERS *\/\n.shdr{display:flex;align-items:stretch;overflow:hidden;border-bottom:3px solid;}\n.sh1{border-color:var(--s1);background:linear-gradient(90deg,#01051a,#001a4d);}\n.sh2{border-color:var(--s2);background:linear-gradient(90deg,#1a0002,#4d0008);}\n.sh3{border-color:var(--s3);background:linear-gradient(90deg,#021202,#0a2f0a);}\n.sh-num{width:clamp(54px,8vw,80px);display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;justify-content:center;gap:3px;padding:12px 8px;flex-shrink:0;}\n.sh-n{font-family:'Amiri',serif;font-size:clamp(28px,5vw,52px);font-weight:900;line-height:1;}\n.sh1 .sh-n{color:var(--amber2);}.sh2 .sh-n{color:#ff9090;}.sh3 .sh-n{color:#88ffaa;}\n.sh-lbl{font-size:clamp(7px,1vw,9.5px);font-weight:900;letter-spacing:2px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);}\n.sh-body{flex:1;padding:clamp(10px,1.5vw,18px) clamp(12px,2vw,24px);display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:5px;justify-content:center;}\n.sh-tag{font-size:clamp(8.5px,.9vw,11px);font-weight:900;padding:2px 9px;border-radius:10px;color:#fff;display:inline-block;align-self:flex-start;margin-bottom:2px;letter-spacing:1.2px;}\n.sh1 .sh-tag{background:rgba(0,51,153,.7);}\n.sh2 .sh-tag{background:rgba(139,0,0,.7);}\n.sh3 .sh-tag{background:rgba(26,74,0,.7);}\n.sh-title{font-family:'Amiri',serif;font-size:clamp(14px,2vw,24px);font-weight:900;color:#fff;line-height:1.4;}\n.sh1 .sh-title em{color:#88ccff;font-style:normal;}\n.sh2 .sh-title em{color:#ff9090;font-style:normal;}\n.sh3 .sh-title em{color:#88ffaa;font-style:normal;}\n.sh-src{font-size:clamp(9px,1vw,11px);color:rgba(255,255,255,.45);display:flex;align-items:center;gap:5px;flex-wrap:wrap;}\n.sh-icon{display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:12px 16px;flex-shrink:0;}\n.sh1 .sh-icon i{color:#88ccff;font-size:clamp(22px,3.5vw,40px);}\n.sh2 .sh-icon i{color:#ff9090;font-size:clamp(22px,3.5vw,40px);}\n.sh3 .sh-icon i{color:#88ffaa;font-size:clamp(22px,3.5vw,40px);}\n\n\/* STUDY BODY *\/\n.study{background:var(--white);}\n\n\/* ABSTRACT *\/\n.abstract{background:linear-gradient(135deg,#f0f5ff,#fff8f0);border-right:6px solid;padding:18px 22px;margin:0;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:10px;}\n.abs1{border-color:var(--s1);}.abs2{border-color:var(--s2);}.abs3{border-color:var(--s3);}\n.abs-hdr{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;margin-bottom:4px;}\n.abs-tag{font-size:10px;font-weight:900;padding:3px 10px;border-radius:10px;color:#fff;letter-spacing:1px;}\n.abs1 .abs-tag{background:var(--s1);}.abs2 .abs-tag{background:var(--s2);}.abs3 .abs-tag{background:var(--s3);}\n.abs-title{font-size:clamp(13px,1.2vw,15px);font-weight:900;color:var(--ink);}\n.abs-txt{font-size:clamp(13px,1.05vw,14.5px);color:var(--txtm);line-height:1.88;font-style:italic;}\n\n\/* DATA TABLE *\/\n.dtbl-wrap{overflow-x:auto;padding:0 0 4px;}\n.dtbl{width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:clamp(11.5px,1vw,13.5px);}\n.dtbl th{padding:10px 14px;font-weight:900;text-align:center;border:1px solid #c8d8f0;white-space:nowrap;}\n.dtbl td{padding:9px 14px;border:1px solid var(--brd);line-height:1.6;vertical-align:top;}\n.dtbl tr:nth-child(even) td{background:#f4f7ff;}\n.dtbl tr:hover td{background:#eef2ff;}\n.s1 .dtbl th{background:var(--s1);color:#fff;}\n.s2 .dtbl th{background:var(--s2);color:#fff;}\n.s3 .dtbl th{background:var(--s3);color:#fff;}\n.s1 .dtbl tr:nth-child(even) td{background:#f0f5ff;}\n.s2 .dtbl tr:nth-child(even) td{background:#fff0f0;}\n.s3 .dtbl tr:nth-child(even) td{background:#f0fff4;}\n\n\/* ANALYSIS SECTION *\/\n.asec{padding:clamp(14px,2vw,28px) clamp(14px,2.5vw,36px);border-bottom:1px solid var(--brd);}\n.asec:last-child{border-bottom:none;}\n.asec-hdr{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;margin-bottom:12px;}\n.asec-ico{font-size:16px;}\n.asec-tag{font-size:9.5px;font-weight:900;color:#fff;padding:2px 9px;border-radius:10px;letter-spacing:1px;}\n.s1 .asec-tag{background:var(--s1);}.s2 .asec-tag{background:var(--s2);}.s3 .asec-tag{background:var(--s3);}\n.asec-title{font-size:clamp(13px,1.2vw,15.5px);font-weight:900;color:var(--ink);}\n.asec p{font-size:clamp(13px,1.02vw,14px);color:var(--txtm);line-height:1.95;margin-bottom:8px;}\n.asec p:last-child{margin-bottom:0;}\n\n\/* STATS ROW *\/\n.stats-row{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:10px;margin:12px 0;}\n.stat-box{flex:1;min-width:140px;padding:10px 14px;border-radius:10px;text-align:center;}\n.s1 .stat-box{background:#e8f0ff;border:1px solid #b0c8f0;}\n.s2 .stat-box{background:#fff0f0;border:1px solid #f0b0b0;}\n.s3 .stat-box{background:#edfff5;border:1px solid #a0e0b8;}\n.stat-v{font-size:clamp(18px,2.5vw,28px);font-weight:900;display:block;line-height:1.1;}\n.s1 .stat-v{color:var(--s1);}.s2 .stat-v{color:var(--s2);}.s3 .stat-v{color:var(--s3);}\n.stat-l{font-size:clamp(10px,1vw,12px);font-weight:700;color:var(--txts);margin-top:3px;display:block;}\n\n\/* TAGS *\/\n.dtags{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:5px;margin-top:8px;}\n.dt{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:3px;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:700;padding:3px 9px;border-radius:20px;white-space:nowrap;}\n.dt.b{background:#e8f0ff;color:var(--s1);border:1px solid #b0c8f0;}\n.dt.r{background:#fff0f0;color:var(--s2);border:1px solid #f0b0b0;}\n.dt.g{background:#edfff5;color:var(--s3);border:1px solid #a0e0b8;}\n.dt.y{background:#fff9e0;color:#7a5800;border:1px solid #e0c060;}\n.dt.p{background:#f5f0ff;color:var(--pur);border:1px solid #c8a8e8;}\n\n\/* CONCLUSION *\/\n.concl{padding:16px 20px;border-radius:12px;margin:14px 0 0;}\n.s1 .concl{background:linear-gradient(135deg,#e8f0ff,#f0f8ff);border-right:5px solid var(--s1);}\n.s2 .concl{background:linear-gradient(135deg,#fff0f0,#fff8f8);border-right:5px solid var(--s2);}\n.s3 .concl{background:linear-gradient(135deg,#edfff5,#f5fff8);border-right:5px solid var(--s3);}\n.concl-hdr{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;margin-bottom:8px;}\n.concl-tag{font-size:9px;font-weight:900;color:#fff;padding:2px 9px;border-radius:10px;letter-spacing:1px;}\n.s1 .concl-tag{background:var(--s1);}.s2 .concl-tag{background:var(--s2);}.s3 .concl-tag{background:var(--s3);}\n.concl-title{font-size:clamp(13px,1.1vw,14.5px);font-weight:900;color:var(--ink);}\n.concl p{font-size:clamp(12.5px,1vw,14px);font-weight:700;color:var(--txtm);line-height:1.85;}\n\n\/* SOURCES *\/\n.src-box{background:#f8f8f8;border:1px solid var(--brd);border-top:3px solid var(--gold);padding:12px 18px;margin:0;}\n.src-hdr{font-size:11px;font-weight:900;color:var(--gold);letter-spacing:1px;margin-bottom:8px;display:flex;align-items:center;gap:5px;}\n.src-list{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:6px;}\n.src-item{background:#fff;border:1px solid #d0d8e8;border-radius:20px;padding:3px 10px;font-size:10px;font-weight:700;color:var(--txts);display:flex;align-items:center;gap:4px;}\n.src-item i{color:var(--gold);font-size:9px;}\n\n\/* FOOTER *\/\n.footer{background:var(--navy);padding:clamp(14px,2.5vw,34px) clamp(14px,5vw,70px);text-align:center;color:rgba(255,255,255,.76);border-top:4px solid var(--gold);}\n.footer p{font-size:clamp(11px,1.1vw,13px);line-height:2.1;}\n.footer strong{color:var(--amber2);}\n.fnote{font-size:10px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.2);margin-top:6px;display:block;}\n\n@media(max-width:768px){.sh-icon{display:none;}.sh-num{width:46px;}}\n@media(max-width:600px){.asec{padding:12px;}.dtbl th,.dtbl td{padding:7px 9px;font-size:11px;}.stat-box{min-width:110px;}}\n<\/style>\n<\/head>\n<body>\n\n<!-- TOP STRIP -->\n<div class=\"topstrip\">\n <div class=\"tsp\">\n <div class=\"tp\"><i class=\"fas fa-globe\"><\/i> \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0629<\/div>\n <div class=\"tp\"><i class=\"fas fa-graduation-cap\"><\/i> \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631<\/div>\n <div class=\"tp\"><i class=\"fas fa-user-tie\"><\/i> \u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644<\/div>\n <div class=\"tp\"><i class=\"fas fa-calendar\"><\/i> 16 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <div class=\"tlive\" style=\"color:var(--amber2);font-size:11px;font-weight:900;\">\ud83d\udd2c \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0623\u0643\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0645\u064a<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- MASTHEAD -->\n<div class=\"mhead\">\n <div class=\"mi\">\n <div class=\"mico\">\ud83d\udd2c<\/div>\n <div class=\"net\">\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 <span>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631<\/span> \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0629<\/div>\n <div class=\"badge\"><i class=\"fas fa-flask\"><\/i> \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 <i class=\"fas fa-search\"><\/i><\/div>\n <div class=\"btitle\">\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a <em>\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629<\/em><\/div>\n <div class=\"bsub\">\u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u00b7 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u00b7 \u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u062a\u064f\u062d\u0643\u0645 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0642\u0628\u0636\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u061f<\/div>\n\n <div class=\"author-box\">\n <div class=\"author-ico\">\ud83d\udc68\u200d\ud83c\udf93<\/div>\n <div class=\"author-info\">\n <div class=\"author-name\">\u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644<\/div>\n <div class=\"author-title\">\u0645\u062d\u0631\u0631 \u0648\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633 \u062a\u062d\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u00b7 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0629<br>\u0628\u0627\u062d\u062b \u0648\u0645\u062d\u0644\u0644 \u2014 \u0623\u0646\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0631\u0628\u060c \u0628\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0643\u0627<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"drow\">\n <div class=\"db ds1\"><span class=\"dv\">\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 1<\/span><span class=\"dl\">\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"db ds2\"><span class=\"dv\">\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 2<\/span><span class=\"dl\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"db ds3\"><span class=\"dv\">\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 3<\/span><span class=\"dl\">\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 -->\n<!-- STUDY 1: HORMUZ ECONOMIC COST -->\n<!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 -->\n<div class=\"shdr sh1\">\n <div class=\"sh-num\">\n <div class=\"sh-n\">1<\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-lbl\">STUDY<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-body\">\n <span class=\"sh-tag\">\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u00b7 \u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u00b7 \u062c\u064a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629<\/span>\n <div class=\"sh-title\">\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0636\u064a\u0642 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632:<br><em>\u0645\u0646 \u064a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u2014 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0623\u0645 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u061f<\/em><\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-src\">\n <i class=\"fas fa-bookmark\" style=\"color:var(--amber2)\"><\/i>\n Wikipedia Economic Impact \u00b7 SolAbility Day-42 Model \u00b7 Congress.gov CRS \u00b7 Dallas Fed \u00b7 Atlantic Council \u00b7 UNCTAD \u00b7 Stimson Center\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-icon\"><i class=\"fas fa-oil-can\"><\/i><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"study s1\">\n\n <div class=\"abstract abs1\">\n <div class=\"abs-hdr\"><span class=\"abs-tag\">\u0645\u0644\u062e\u0635 \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a<\/span><span class=\"abs-title\">\u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062c\u0631\u062f \u0645\u0645\u0631 \u2014 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0642\u0644\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"abs-txt\">\u0645\u0646\u0630 28 \u0641\u0628\u0631\u0627\u064a\u0631 2026\u060c \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0645\u0636\u064a\u0642 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0645\u0631 \u0634\u062d\u0646 \u062d\u064a\u0648\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0644\u0646\u0629. \u0643\u0644\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0641\u064a\u0646 \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a \u2014 \u064a\u062a\u0643\u0628\u0651\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u0648\u0632\u064a\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u064a\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0646 \u062c\u0630\u0631\u064a\u0627\u064b. \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u062d\u0644\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u062c\u0626\u0629: \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0637\u0631\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628.<\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <!-- KEY STATS -->\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-chart-bar asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s1)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u2014 76 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stats-row\">\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">27%<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u062a\u0645\u0631\u0651 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">$1.1 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u064a\u062c \u064a\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">$200+ \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u062a\u0643\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0646<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">$132\/\u0628\u0631\u0645\u064a\u0644<\/span><span class=\"stat-v\" style=\"font-size:13px;color:#777;\">\u0641\u064a\u0632\u064a\u0627\u0626\u064a<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0633\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0631\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0633\u064a\u0648\u064a\u064a\u0646<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">1 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0628\u0631\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0633\u062a\u064f\u0641\u0642\u062f \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u2014 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0641\u064a\u062a\u0648\u0644<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">$3.57 \u062a\u0631\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062e\u0637\u0631 \u2014 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <!-- TABLE: US vs IRAN LOSSES -->\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-balance-scale asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s1)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u2014 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0646<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"dtbl-wrap\">\n <table class=\"dtbl\">\n <thead><tr><th>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0648\u0631<\/th><th>\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629<\/th><th>\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf7 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646<\/th><th>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u064a<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n <tbody>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/td><td>+$200 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631 (\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u062a\u0627\u063a\u0648\u0646) \u2014 \u0631\u0628\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0629. \u062a\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0641 \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u062d\u0629 4 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u062a<\/td><td>\u0645\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0646\u0633\u0628\u064a\u0627\u064b \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0648\u0623\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0628\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631<\/td><td class=\"dt b\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0645\u0651\u0644 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0627\u064b<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637<\/strong><\/td><td>\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629 \u2014 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u064a\u064f\u0642\u0644\u0651\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0627\u0643<\/td><td>\u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u2014 69+ \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0631\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u062c\u0648\u0632\u0629 = $6+ \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0645\u064f\u062c\u0645\u064e\u0651\u062f\u0629<\/td><td class=\"dt r\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf7 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u062f \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629\u064b<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a<\/strong><\/td><td>$4\/\u063a\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0646\u0632\u064a\u0646 (\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 30%) + \u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 2.13% \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u064a + \u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u062a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629<\/td><td>\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u064a + \u0628\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 + \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0631\u0629 + \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0631\u0646\u062a \u0645\u064f\u063a\u0644\u0642 + \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u063a\u0630\u0627\u0626\u064a<\/td><td class=\"dt r\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf7 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u062f \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0646\u0627\u0629\u064b \u0628\u0641\u0627\u0631\u0642 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0645\u062f\u0627\u062f<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062d\u0646 + 4 \u0633\u0641\u0646 Hapag-Lloyd \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0635\u0631\u0629 + \u0625\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0642\u0648\u062f<\/td><td>$25 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0623\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0637\u0627\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0644\u064a\u062c + \u0645\u062d\u0637\u0627\u062a \u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0645\u063a\u0644\u0642\u0629<\/td><td class=\"dt b\">\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 \u0645\u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0628\u0648\u0631\u0635\u0627\u062a \u062a\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 + \u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0646\u062f\u0627\u062a + \u0630\u0647\u0628 \u0648\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0641\u0631\u0646\u0643 \u0633\u0648\u064a\u0633\u0631\u064a \u064a\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639<\/td><td>\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0630\u0643\u0631 \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0651\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0630 2019<\/td><td class=\"dt y\">\u0645\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0648\u062a \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a<\/strong><\/td><td>\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0645\u0628 \u064a\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u2014 “\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0641\u0643\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u064a\u0646”<\/td><td>\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a “\u0648\u0636\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0642\u062a\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629” \u2014 \u0642\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a + \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0645\u0627\u062a<\/td><td class=\"dt r\">\u0643\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0628\u0623\u0634\u0643\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u062e\u062a\u0644\u0641\u0629<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0633\u064a<\/strong><\/td><td>\u062d\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0621 \u064a\u062a\u0630\u0645\u0631\u0648\u0646 \u2014 Hapag-Lloyd $219M \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u2014 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0626\u0646\u0651<\/td><td>\u0639\u0632\u0644\u0629 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 + \u062e\u0631\u0648\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a + \u0639\u0642\u0648\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0636\u0627\u0639\u0641\u0629<\/td><td class=\"dt r\">\ud83c\uddee\ud83c\uddf7 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0632\u0644\u0629\u064b<\/td><\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <!-- ANALYSIS: WHO WINS -->\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-chess asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s1)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631: \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0648\u0644\u0627 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0631\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0643\u0634\u0641\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a: \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0623\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0641\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u0627\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u2014 \u0628\u0644 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0623\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0641 \u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629:<\/p>\n <div class=\"stats-row\">\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">\ud83c\udf0f \u0622\u0633\u064a\u0627<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">75% \u0645\u0646 \u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u062a\u0630\u0647\u0628 \u0644\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0628\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0643\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0627 \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u062f \u062a\u0636\u0631\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0641\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0627\u064b<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddec \u0645\u0635\u0631<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">$10 \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0642\u0646\u0627\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0648\u064a\u0633 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062d\u0646 \u2014 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0648\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639 \u0625\u062b\u064a\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0627 \u0645\u062a\u062c\u0645\u0651\u062f\u0629<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">\ud83c\udf0d \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">30% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0645\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0645\u0631\u0651 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0630\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u062e\u0637\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u062c\u0646\u0648\u0628 \u0622\u0633\u064a\u0627<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <p>\u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0631\u0641\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u0627\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0646: <strong>\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0645\u0651\u0644 \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0639\u0645\u0642 \u0648\u0623\u0634\u062f \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629\u064b<\/strong> \u2014 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0645\u062d\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0629. \u0644\u0643\u0646 <strong>\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0643\u0628\u0651\u062f \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0627\u0647\u0638\u0629<\/strong> \u0633\u062a\u064f\u0644\u0642\u064a \u0628\u0638\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0632\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u064a\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a 2026. \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0636\u0628\u0637 \u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646: \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0645\u0646\u0639\u0637\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n <p>\u0623\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u064a \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a\u062a\u062c\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c SolAbility: \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062f\u0646\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0647\u0645\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u064b \u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627\u064b)\u060c \u064a\u0628\u0642\u0649 $3.57 \u062a\u0631\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0631. \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0641\u0631\u0646\u0633\u0627.<\/p>\n\n <div class=\"dtags\">\n <span class=\"dt b\"><i class=\"fas fa-oil-can\"><\/i> \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632: 20% \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0645\u062f\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0637\u0651\u0644\u0629<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt r\"><i class=\"fas fa-lira-sign\"><\/i> \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646: \u0627\u0644\u0644\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u064a<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt y\"><i class=\"fas fa-dollar-sign\"><\/i> \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627: $200+ \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0632\u064a\u0646 30%<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt g\"><i class=\"fas fa-globe-asia\"><\/i> \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0634\u062f \u0645\u0639\u0627\u0646\u0627\u0629\u064b: \u0622\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629<\/span>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"concl\">\n <div class=\"concl-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-flag-checkered\" style=\"color:var(--s1);font-size:14px;\"><\/i><span class=\"concl-tag\">\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644<\/span><span class=\"concl-title\">\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0646\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645\u061f<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0633\u0644\u0627\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0628\u064a\u062f \u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u2014 \u0647\u0648 \u0642\u0646\u0628\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u062f\u0645\u064a\u0631 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u064a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u062b\u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639. \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0645\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631. \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0645\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0635\u0645\u062f \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u062f\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645. \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0627\u0631\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a\u0629: \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0637\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642\u060c \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0639\u0645\u0651\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0623\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0642\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u062e\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0647\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u2014 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0628\u0644 \u0625\u0631\u0647\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"src-box\">\n <div class=\"src-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-bookmark\"><\/i> \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649<\/div>\n <div class=\"src-list\">\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Wikipedia: Economic impact of 2026 Iran war<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> SolAbility: Hormuz Closure Cost Model (Day 42)<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Congress.gov \/ CRS: Strait of Hormuz<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Dallas Fed Research (March 2026)<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Atlantic Council (April 14, 2026)<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> UNCTAD: Hormuz Disruptions Report<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Stimson Center: Global Markets & Hormuz<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Vitol CEO Statement (April 21, 2026)<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n<\/div><!-- \/study 1 -->\n\n<!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 -->\n<!-- STUDY 2: YEMENI EXTREMISM IN EUROPE -->\n<!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 -->\n<div class=\"shdr sh2\" style=\"margin-top:32px;\">\n <div class=\"sh-num\">\n <div class=\"sh-n\">2<\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-lbl\">STUDY<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-body\">\n <span class=\"sh-tag\">\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u00b7 \u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u00b7 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627<\/span>\n <div class=\"sh-title\">\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a (\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a \u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0647) \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 2026:<br><em>\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062d\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u0645\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0634\u0648\u0627\u0631\u0639 \u0628\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0648\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0627<\/em><\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-src\">\n <i class=\"fas fa-bookmark\" style=\"color:var(--amber2)\"><\/i>\n Counter Extremism Project \u00b7 CNN Investigation \u00b7 Yemen Monitor \u00b7 Congress.gov \u00b7 ICCT \u00b7 Wikipedia 2026 Iran diaspora\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-icon\"><i class=\"fas fa-shield-alt\"><\/i><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"study s2\">\n\n <div class=\"abstract abs2\">\n <div class=\"abs-hdr\"><span class=\"abs-tag\">\u0645\u0644\u062e\u0635 \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a<\/span><span class=\"abs-title\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0651\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u062d\u0633\u0628<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"abs-txt\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0648\u0635\u0641\u0647\u0645 \u062a\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0645\u0627\u064b \u2014 \u0628\u0644 \u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0646\u0638\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0634\u0639\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u0634\u0645\u0644 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646 \u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0623\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u062c\u0632\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628 (AQAP)\u060c \u0648\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0645\u062c\u0646\u064e\u0651\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u0648\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a. \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0641\u0628\u0631\u0627\u064a\u0631 2026\u060c \u062a\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0639 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0647\u062f \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0639 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646.<\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-history asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s2)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e\u064a<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646: \u0645\u0641\u0631\u062e\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u0645\u0646<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u064a\u062f\u0629: \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a\u0636\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0622\u0646\u064d \u0648\u0627\u062d\u062f \u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0634\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0627\u064b (\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a) \u0648\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0633\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b (AQAP \u0648\u0641\u0631\u0648\u0639 \u062f\u0627\u0639\u0634). \u0648\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0648\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u062f\u0645 \u0645\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062f \u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627. \u0641\u0642\u062f \u0637\u0648\u0651\u0631\u062a AQAP \u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629\u064b \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f \u2014 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062e\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0628\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0641\u062c\u0631\u0629 (2009) \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 Charlie Hebdo (2015)\u060c \u0643\u0644\u0627\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646.<\/p>\n\n <div class=\"dtbl-wrap\" style=\"margin:12px 0;\">\n <table class=\"dtbl\">\n <thead><tr><th>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0629<\/th><th>\u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629<\/th><th>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f<\/th><th>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n <tbody>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0649<\/strong><\/td><td>2009-2015<\/td><td>AQAP \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631\u0629\u064b<\/td><td>\u0645\u062e\u0637\u0637\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0639\u062f\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u0631\u0646\u0633\u0627 \u0648\u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/strong><\/td><td>2023-2025<\/td><td>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062d\u0646 \u2014 \u0631\u062f\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627<\/td><td>\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0648\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0629<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0645\u0627\u0631\u0633 2026 \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0646<\/td><td>\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0637\u0644\u0642 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a HAYI \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627<\/td><td>\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0646\u064a\u0633 \u0644\u064a\u064a\u062c + \u0623\u0646\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0631\u0628 + \u0644\u0646\u062f\u0646 + \u0628\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0633<\/td><\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-network-wired asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s2)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0645<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u0643\u064a\u0641 \u062a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 HAYI \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629-\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627\u061f<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0643\u0634\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0635\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0644\u0640CNN \u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c\u0627\u064b \u0647\u062c\u064a\u0646\u0627\u064b \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0627\u064b \u064a\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 “\u0623\u0635\u062d\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0646” (HAYI) \u0648\u0643\u062a\u0627\u0626\u0628 \u062d\u0632\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642\u064a\u0629. \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u064a\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646 \u0623\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627\u064b (\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0638\u0644\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u064a\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644) \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0639\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0627\u0642.<\/p>\n\n <div class=\"stats-row\">\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">17 \u062d\u0627\u062f\u062b\u0629<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0627 HAYI \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0645\u0627\u0631\u0633 2026<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">3 \u062f\u0648\u0644<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0628\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0643\u0627 + \u0647\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062f\u0627 + \u0641\u0631\u0646\u0633\u0627: \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u0631\u0627\u064b<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">\u062a\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0645<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0646\u0635\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u2014 \u0639\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062d\u0645\u064a\u0629<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">700+<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0639\u0645\u064a\u0644 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0634\u062a\u0628\u0647 \u0628\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0643\u0646\u062f\u0627 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u2014 RCMP<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <p>\u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0637\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648\u0630\u062c \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u063a\u0644 \u062d\u062c\u062c \u0645\u0634\u0631\u0648\u0639\u0629 (\u0631\u0641\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0641\u0644\u0633\u0637\u064a\u0646) \u0643\u063a\u0637\u0627\u0621 \u0623\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a \u0644\u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0623\u0635\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 (\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632) \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 (\u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0639\u0628\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629). \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0637\u0639 \u064a\u062e\u0644\u0642 \u062a\u0648\u0631\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n\n <div class=\"dtags\">\n <span class=\"dt r\"><i class=\"fas fa-mosque\"><\/i> \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646: \u0645\u0632\u062f\u0648\u062c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u2014 \u0634\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0633\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0622\u0646<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt r\"><i class=\"fas fa-mobile-alt\"><\/i> \u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u062a\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0645: \u0639\u0644\u0646\u064a \u0648\u0645\u0643\u0634\u0648\u0641 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt y\"><i class=\"fas fa-users\"><\/i> \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u0644\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637\u0629: \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0644\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0636\u0639\u0641<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt b\"><i class=\"fas fa-shield-alt\"><\/i> EU \u062a\u062f\u0631\u0633 \u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0625\u0631\u0647\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0627\u064b<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-map-marked-alt asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s2)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0642\u0638<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0629: \u0645\u0646 \u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0642<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0641\u064a \u0645\u0624\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0645\u064a\u0648\u0646\u064a\u062e \u0644\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0641\u0628\u0631\u0627\u064a\u0631 2026\u060c \u0637\u0627\u0644\u0628 \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u0627\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0631\u0634\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0646\u062f\u064a \u062c\u064a\u062a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0641\u0648\u0636\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0631\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0642\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0646 “\u0625\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629” \u0625\u0644\u0649 “\u0625\u0646\u0647\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0647\u062f\u064a\u062f”\u060c \u0645\u0624\u0643\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0628\u0627\u062a\u062a \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064f\u0639\u062f \u0623\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0644\u0627 \u0645\u062c\u0631\u062f \u0625\u0637\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646\u064a.<\/p>\n <p>\u0641\u064a \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026\u060c \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0646\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0644\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0646\u0634\u0631 \u0637\u0627\u0626\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0642\u0627\u062a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0633\u0641\u064a\u0646\u0629 \u062d\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0645\u0647\u0645\u0629 \u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062d\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632. \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0648\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u062c\u0633\u0651\u062f \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0645\u0646 “\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0629” \u0625\u0644\u0649 “\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0629” \u2014 \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0632\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0627\u0634\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062e\u0631\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a.<\/p>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-lightbulb asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s2)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u062e\u0627\u0635 \u0641\u064a 2026\u061f<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u0629 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u062a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062e\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0629\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627:<\/p>\n <p><strong>\u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b \u2014 \u062a\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0636\u064a\u0629:<\/strong> \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0636\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0633\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u063a\u0632\u0629 \u0648\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646 \u062a\u064f\u0648\u0641\u0651\u0631 \u0645\u0627\u062f\u0629\u064b \u062a\u062d\u0631\u064a\u0636\u064a\u0629\u064b \u062c\u0627\u0647\u0632\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0642\u0646\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0644\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0628\u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628 “\u064a\u062d\u0627\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645”. \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0633\u062a\u063a\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u0648\u0631\u0627\u0626\u0647\u0645 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646.<\/p>\n <p><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b \u2014 \u0633\u0647\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a:<\/strong> \u0642\u0646\u0648\u0627\u062a \u062a\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u0644\u0646 \u0635\u0631\u0627\u062d\u0629\u064b \u0639\u0646 \u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f “\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0628\u0623\u062c\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0622\u0645\u0646\u0629” \u2014 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0631\u0623\u0629 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u064f\u0633\u0628\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627.<\/p>\n <p><strong>\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u064b \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629:<\/strong> \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 + \u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 + \u0625\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a + \u0635\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0639\u0628\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 = \u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0642 \u062a\u064f\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u064f\u0631\u0636\u0629\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f.<\/p>\n\n <div class=\"concl\">\n <div class=\"concl-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-flag-checkered\" style=\"color:var(--s2);font-size:14px;\"><\/i><span class=\"concl-tag\">\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644<\/span><span class=\"concl-title\">\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627: \u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u062a<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0627\u0644\u062e\u0637\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0628\u0647 \u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0628\u0633\u064a\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0627\u0647\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0645\u064a\u062a\u0647\u0627 “\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641\u0627\u064b \u062d\u0648\u062b\u064a\u0627\u064b”. \u0645\u0627 \u0646\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0634\u0627\u0628\u0643 \u062b\u0644\u0627\u062b\u064a: \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0638\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 + \u0627\u0644\u0623\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0641 + \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0642\u0645\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0639\u0628\u0631 \u062a\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0645. \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0644 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0628\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0642\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u2014 \u0628\u0644 \u0628\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0630\u0631\u064a\u0629: \u0625\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062c \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a \u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0646\u0642\u062f \u0623\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a \u0645\u0628\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u064a\u062d\u060c \u0648\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a\u0646 \u0647\u0645 \u0623\u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647\u0645 \u0636\u062d\u0627\u064a\u0627 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"src-box\">\n <div class=\"src-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-bookmark\"><\/i> \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/div>\n <div class=\"src-list\">\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> CNN Investigation: HAYI & Iran in Europe (11 May 2026)<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Counter Extremism Project: Yemen & Houthis<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Yemen Monitor: EU & Houthi Designation (Feb 2026)<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Congress.gov: Yemen Terrorism CRS<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> AcademicJobs: Radical Islam Europe 2026<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Wikipedia: 2026 Iranian diaspora protests<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Euronews: Antwerp security measures<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n<\/div><!-- \/study 2 -->\n\n<!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 -->\n<!-- STUDY 3: WHY RUSSIA FAILED TO WIN -->\n<!-- \u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550\u2550 -->\n<div class=\"shdr sh3\" style=\"margin-top:32px;\">\n <div class=\"sh-num\">\n <div class=\"sh-n\">3<\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-lbl\">STUDY<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-body\">\n <span class=\"sh-tag\">\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u00b7 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u00b7 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627<\/span>\n <div class=\"sh-title\">\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u0639\u062c\u0632\u062a \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0627\u0646\u0633\u062d\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u061f<br><em>\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0646\u061f<\/em><\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-src\">\n <i class=\"fas fa-bookmark\" style=\"color:var(--amber2)\"><\/i>\n ISW May 2026 \u00b7 Russia Matters (ISW data) \u00b7 Euromaidan Press \u00b7 Euronews \u00b7 FT \u00b7 Washington Post\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <div class=\"sh-icon\"><i class=\"fas fa-chess-king\"><\/i><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"study s3\">\n\n <div class=\"abstract abs3\">\n <div class=\"abs-hdr\"><span class=\"abs-tag\">\u0645\u0644\u062e\u0635 \u062a\u0646\u0641\u064a\u0630\u064a<\/span><span class=\"abs-title\">\u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0641\u062a\u0642\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u2014 \u0628\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0642\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"abs-txt\">\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0646\u0634\u063a\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u0628\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0625\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629. \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0641\u0629 \u2014 \u0628\u0644 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0645\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062c\u064a\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0639\u0642\u062f\u0629 \u064a\u064f\u062d\u0644\u0651\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0644.<\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-chart-area asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s3)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a ISW \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f\u062b \u062d\u062a\u0649 16 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026\u061f<\/span><\/div>\n\n <div class=\"stats-row\">\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">~20%<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0646 \u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0637\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0629 (\u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0645 \u0648\u062f\u0648\u0646\u0628\u0627\u0633 \u0645\u0627 \u0642\u0628\u0644 2022)<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">-45 \u0645\u064a\u0644\u00b2<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u062e\u0633\u0631\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0623\u0628\u0631\u064a\u0644-\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026 \u2014 \u0623\u0648\u0644 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0635\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0623\u063a\u0633\u0637\u0633 2024<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">2.9 \u0643\u0645\u00b2\/\u064a\u0648\u0645<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0641\u064a 2026 \u2014 \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 9.76 \u0643\u0645\u00b2\/\u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0630\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 2025<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">1,000,000<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0642\u062a\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062c\u0631\u064a\u062d \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0648\u0641\u0628\u0631\u0627\u064a\u0631 2026<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">8,000+<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0629 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0628\u0631\u064a\u0644 2026 \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0634\u0647\u0631\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0627\u0631\u064a\u062e \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">66%<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062f\u0645\u0651\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u062e\u0631\u064a\u0641 2024<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-brain asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s3)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u0633\u0645\u0629<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">6 \u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u062a\u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644<\/span><\/div>\n\n <div class=\"dtbl-wrap\">\n <table class=\"dtbl\">\n <thead><tr><th>#<\/th><th>\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644<\/th><th>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0635\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629<\/th><th>\u0645\u0642\u064a\u0627\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n <tbody>\n <tr><td><strong>1<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0627\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0644\u0628\u0629<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0633\u0644\u0628\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0636\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0639\u0645\u0651\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u0637\u0627\u0644 \u0623\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064f\u0639\u062f 1,000+ \u0643\u0645 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627. \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026 \u0636\u0631\u0628\u062a \u0645\u0646\u0634\u0623\u0629 \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u064f\u0639\u062f 1,000 \u0643\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062f.<\/td><td class=\"dt g\">\ud83d\udd34 \u062d\u0627\u0633\u0645<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>2<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0632\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0634\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0627\u0626\u0644<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u062a\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062c\u0631\u064a\u062d \u0645\u0642\u0627\u0628\u0644 250,000-300,000 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a. \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u062c\u0646\u0651\u062f \u0628\u0635\u0639\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u062f\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629.<\/td><td class=\"dt g\">\ud83d\udd34 \u062d\u0627\u0633\u0645<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>3<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0627\u062a: \u0645\u064a\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0641\u0626<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0623\u0637\u0644\u0642\u062a 8,000+ \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0628\u0631\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0647 \u2014 \u0644\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0631\u062f\u0651\u062a \u0628\u0636\u0631\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0629. \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u064a\u0651\u0631\u0627\u062a \u062a\u064f\u0639\u064a\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0631\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0648\u062a\u064f\u0646\u0632\u0644 \u062e\u0633\u0627\u0626\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0632\u064a\u0632\u0627\u062a.<\/td><td class=\"dt y\">\ud83d\udfe1 \u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>4<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0636 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0642\u0633 \u0644\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0634\u062a\u0627\u0621 2025-2026 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0628\u0631\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u0631\u0637\u0648\u0628\u0629\u064b \u0628\u0641\u0627\u0631\u0642 3 \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0627\u062a \u2014 \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0639\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0643\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0630\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0642\u064a\u0644\u0629.<\/td><td class=\"dt y\">\ud83d\udfe1 \u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>5<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u0646\u0647\u0631 \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0627\u064b<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0647\u062f \u062a\u0631\u0627\u0645\u0628\u060c \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0631\u0641\u0639\u062a \u0625\u0646\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0648\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644\u062a \u0625\u0645\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627. \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 “\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u0648\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631” \u062a\u064f\u0639\u0648\u0651\u0636 \u062c\u0632\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0634\u0646\u0637\u0646.<\/td><td class=\"dt y\">\ud83d\udfe1 \u0645\u0624\u062b\u0631<\/td><\/tr>\n <tr><td><strong>6<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u062d\u062c\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0627\u0636\u064a \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647 \u0639\u0627\u0626\u0642<\/strong><\/td><td>\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u0645\u0633\u0627\u062d\u0629 \u0641\u0631\u0646\u0633\u0627. \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u064a\u062a\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0648\u0632 \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0641\u064a \u0630\u0631\u0648\u0629 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a\u0647 \u2014 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0644\u0648 \u062f\u064f\u0645\u0651\u0631\u062a \u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a.<\/td><td class=\"dt b\">\ud83d\udd35 \u0647\u064a\u0643\u0644\u064a<\/td><\/tr>\n <\/tbody>\n <\/table>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"asec\">\n <div class=\"asec-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-globe-europe asec-ico\" style=\"color:var(--s3)\"><\/i><span class=\"asec-tag\">\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a<\/span><span class=\"asec-title\">\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0630\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0645\u0639 \u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0643\u0644 \u0634\u064a\u0621\u061f<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0648\u0636 \u0645\u0639 \u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u064a\u0633 \u0636\u0639\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0623\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627\u064b \u2014 \u0628\u0644 \u0646\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0645\u0629:<\/p>\n\n <div class=\"stats-row\">\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">3%<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0631\u0648 \u2014 \u0645\u0636\u0627\u0641 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0629<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">\u062f\u064a \u0648\u064a\u0641\u0631<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0628\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0643\u0627: “\u064a\u062c\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639 \u0645\u0639 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062e\u064a\u0635\u0629”<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">\u0641\u064a\u0643\u0648<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633 \u0648\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0643\u064a\u0627 \u0632\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u064a\u0648\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0635\u0631 \u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0643\u0648\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0636\u0648\u0627\u064b \u0641\u064a EU \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u0648<\/span><\/div>\n <div class=\"stat-box\"><span class=\"stat-v\">62%<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u064a\u062f\u0639\u0645\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0641\u0627\u0648\u0636\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645 \u2014 \u064861% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u062a\u0646\u0627\u0632\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <p>\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0631\u0651\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a: \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0641\u062c\u0651\u0631\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b \u062b\u0645 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0647\u0631\u0645\u0632 \u062b\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0636\u0639\u062a \u0642\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u064a\u0646 \u0623\u0645\u0627\u0645 \u062e\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0635\u0639\u0628: \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0629 \u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0628\u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0647\u0638\u0629\u060c \u0623\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 \u0628\u0635\u0641\u0642\u0629 \u062a\u064f\u0639\u064a\u062f \u062c\u0632\u0621\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062e\u064a\u0635\u0629. \u062f\u064a \u0648\u064a\u0641\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u0648\u0641\u064a\u0643\u0648 \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0644\u0648\u0641\u0627\u0643\u064a\u0627 \u064a\u064f\u0645\u062b\u0651\u0644\u0627\u0646 \u062c\u0646\u0627\u062d\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0645\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0639\u062f\u0627\u064b \u064a\u0631\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0651\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627.<\/p>\n\n <p>\u0648\u062a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0627\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0629: \u062a\u0631\u0627\u0645\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u064f\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u0648 \u0628\u0623\u0642\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0648\u0628 \u0648\u064a\u0633\u062d\u0628 \u062c\u0646\u0648\u062f\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u064a\u064f\u0631\u0633\u0644 \u0631\u0633\u0627\u0644\u0629 \u0636\u0645\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0628\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0648\u0627\u0634\u0646\u0637\u0646\u060c \u0645\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0628\u062d\u062b \u0639\u0646 “\u0635\u0641\u0642\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0641\u0631\u062f\u0629” \u0645\u0639 \u0645\u0648\u0633\u0643\u0648.<\/p>\n\n <div class=\"dtags\">\n <span class=\"dt g\"><i class=\"fas fa-arrow-down\"><\/i> \u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u064a\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0623: \u0645\u0646 9.76 \u0625\u0644\u0649 2.9 \u0643\u0645\u00b2\/\u064a\u0648\u0645<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt r\"><i class=\"fas fa-skull-crossbones\"><\/i> \u0645\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0642\u062a\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u062c\u0631\u064a\u062d \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0632\u0627\u0641 \u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt y\"><i class=\"fas fa-euro-sign\"><\/i> \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u062a\u062a\u062c\u0647 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0629: \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u064a\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u062f\u0623<\/span>\n <span class=\"dt b\"><i class=\"fas fa-chess\"><\/i> \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a: \u0645\u0646 \u064a\u0635\u0645\u062f \u0623\u0637\u0648\u0644<\/span>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"concl\">\n <div class=\"concl-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-flag-checkered\" style=\"color:var(--s3);font-size:14px;\"><\/i><span class=\"concl-tag\">\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644<\/span><span class=\"concl-title\">\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a 2026: \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0632\u0627\u0641 \u0644\u0627 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0631<\/span><\/div>\n <p>\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0644\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0648\u063a\u0631\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u2014 \u0644\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0637\u064a\u0639 \u062a\u062f\u0645\u064a\u0631 \u0642\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0629 \u0643\u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u064a\u062b\u0629 (66% \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u062f\u0645\u0651\u0631\u0629). \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u2014 \u0628\u0644 \u0625\u0631\u063a\u0627\u0645 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0628\u0648\u0644 “\u0635\u0641\u0642\u0629 \u062c\u0632\u0626\u064a\u0629” \u062a\u064f\u062b\u0628\u0651\u062a \u0645\u0627 \u064a\u062d\u062a\u0644\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0646. \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0651\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0635\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0635\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0642\u064a\u0642\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u062c\u0646\u064a\u0647 \u0628\u0648\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0645\u0646 76 \u064a\u0648\u0645\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0645\u0648\u062f. \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0644: \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u064a\u0635\u0628\u0651 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0635\u0644\u062d\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u064a\u0645\u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0631\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0645\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0648\u0644 \u2014 \u0648\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u062a\u0631\u0627\u0647\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0633\u062a\u062a\u0639\u0628 \u0623\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064b.<\/p>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"src-box\">\n <div class=\"src-hdr\"><i class=\"fas fa-bookmark\"><\/i> \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0627\u0644\u062b\u0629<\/div>\n <div class=\"src-list\">\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> ISW Assessment (May 2, 2026)<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Russia Matters: ISW Data (May 13, 2026)<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Euromaidan Press: April 2026 ISW Report<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Euronews: Russia Ukraine May 5, 2026<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Financial Times: Putin commanders Donbas by fall<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Washington Post: Putin ceasefire terms<\/span>\n <span class=\"src-item\"><i class=\"fas fa-link\"><\/i> Times of London: 66% Ukraine energy destroyed<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n<\/div><!-- \/study 3 -->\n\n<!-- FOOTER -->\n<div class=\"footer\" style=\"margin-top:32px;\">\n <p style=\"font-size:clamp(16px,2.5vw,26px);margin-bottom:12px;\">\ud83d\udd2c \ud83d\udcca \ud83c\udf0d \u2694\ufe0f \ud83d\udee1\ufe0f \ud83d\udcd6<\/p>\n <p>\n <strong>\u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644: \u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644<\/strong><br>\n \u0645\u062d\u0644\u0644 \u0648\u0645\u062d\u0631\u0631 \u2014 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0629<br>\n \u0623\u0646\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0631\u0628\u060c \u0628\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0643\u0627 \u00b7 16 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026<br>\n <span style=\"color:rgba(255,255,255,.25);font-size:.82em\">\n \u062c\u0645\u064a\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064a\u0627\u0646\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0646\u062f\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631 \u0623\u0643\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632 \u0623\u0628\u062d\u0627\u062b \u0645\u0648\u062b\u0651\u0642\u0629.\n \u0627\u0644\u0622\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0639\u0628\u0651\u0631 \u0639\u0646 \u0631\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0648\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0644\u0632\u0645 \u062c\u0647\u062a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629.\n <\/span>\n <\/p>\n <span class=\"fnote\">\u00a9 2026 \u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u0629 \u2014 \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u2014 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0644<\/span>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/body>\n<\/html>\n <div class=\"booster-block booster-reactions-block\">\n <div class=\"twp-reactions-icons\">\n \n <div class=\"twp-reacts-wrap\">\n <a react-data=\"be-react-1\" post-id=\"234620\" class=\"be-face-icons un-reacted\" href=\"javascript:void(0)\">\n <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/wp-content\/plugins\/booster-extension\/\/assets\/icon\/happy.svg\" alt=\"Happy\">\n <\/a>\n <div class=\"twp-reaction-title\">\n Happy <\/div>\n <div class=\"twp-count-percent\">\n <span style=\"display: none;\" class=\"twp-react-count\">0<\/span>\n \n <span class=\"twp-react-percent\"><span>0<\/span> %<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"twp-reacts-wrap\">\n <a react-data=\"be-react-2\" post-id=\"234620\" class=\"be-face-icons un-reacted\" href=\"javascript:void(0)\">\n <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/wp-content\/plugins\/booster-extension\/\/assets\/icon\/sad.svg\" alt=\"Sad\">\n <\/a>\n <div class=\"twp-reaction-title\">\n Sad <\/div>\n <div class=\"twp-count-percent\">\n <span style=\"display: none;\" class=\"twp-react-count\">0<\/span>\n <span class=\"twp-react-percent\"><span>0<\/span> %<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"twp-reacts-wrap\">\n <a react-data=\"be-react-3\" post-id=\"234620\" class=\"be-face-icons un-reacted\" href=\"javascript:void(0)\">\n <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/wp-content\/plugins\/booster-extension\/\/assets\/icon\/excited.svg\" alt=\"Excited\">\n <\/a>\n <div class=\"twp-reaction-title\">\n Excited <\/div>\n <div class=\"twp-count-percent\">\n <span style=\"display: none;\" class=\"twp-react-count\">0<\/span>\n <span class=\"twp-react-percent\"><span>0<\/span> %<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"twp-reacts-wrap\">\n <a react-data=\"be-react-6\" post-id=\"234620\" class=\"be-face-icons un-reacted\" href=\"javascript:void(0)\">\n <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/wp-content\/plugins\/booster-extension\/\/assets\/icon\/sleepy.svg\" alt=\"Sleepy\">\n <\/a>\n <div class=\"twp-reaction-title\">\n Sleepy <\/div>\n <div class=\"twp-count-percent\">\n <span style=\"display: none;\" class=\"twp-react-count\">0<\/span>\n \n <span class=\"twp-react-percent\"><span>0<\/span> %<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"twp-reacts-wrap\">\n <a react-data=\"be-react-4\" post-id=\"234620\" class=\"be-face-icons un-reacted\" href=\"javascript:void(0)\">\n <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/wp-content\/plugins\/booster-extension\/\/assets\/icon\/angry.svg\" alt=\"Angry\">\n <\/a>\n <div class=\"twp-reaction-title\">Angry<\/div>\n <div class=\"twp-count-percent\">\n <span style=\"display: none;\" class=\"twp-react-count\">0<\/span>\n <span class=\"twp-react-percent\"><span>0<\/span> %<\/span>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <div class=\"twp-reacts-wrap\">\n <a react-data=\"be-react-5\" post-id=\"234620\" class=\"be-face-icons un-reacted\" href=\"javascript:void(0)\">\n <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.almadar.be\/wp-content\/plugins\/booster-extension\/\/assets\/icon\/surprise.svg\" alt=\"Surprise\">\n <\/a>\n <div class=\"twp-reaction-title\">Surprise<\/div>\n <div class=\"twp-count-percent\">\n <span style=\"display: none;\" class=\"twp-react-count\">0<\/span>\n <span class=\"twp-react-percent\"><span>0<\/span> %<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n ","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062f\u0627\u0631 \u2014 \u062f. \u0647\u0634\u0627\u0645 \u0639\u0648\u0643\u0644 \u2014 16 \u0645\u0627\u064a\u0648 2026 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